Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.094637 1.233155 1.384240 1.561555 1.764316 1.989356 2.258624
2026-01-11 0.902275 1.089556 1.310031 1.589903 1.937362 2.356664 2.904180
2026-01-18 0.765782 0.978290 1.244541 1.605207 2.084961 2.706669 3.582240
2026-01-25 0.652414 0.873152 1.164408 1.581101 2.168897 2.978814 4.197298
2026-02-01 0.552608 0.768857 1.066848 1.513372 2.175686 3.137986 4.671823
2026-02-08 0.481058 0.692522 0.995295 1.468055 2.201608 3.319848 5.199046
2026-02-15 0.427057 0.633841 0.940280 1.436945 2.239952 3.519394 5.777852
2026-02-22 0.400259 0.611893 0.936186 1.481335 2.399222 3.927401 6.761391
2026-03-01 0.370732 0.581947 0.915468 1.494948 2.507351 4.262226 7.668778
2026-03-08 0.336071 0.539903 0.870370 1.461543 2.528862 4.446926 8.327105
2026-03-15 0.305635 0.501610 0.827189 1.425635 2.539793 4.611221 8.968910
2026-03-22 0.294576 0.494664 0.835915 1.481847 2.725273 5.124613 10.394882
2026-03-29 0.279548 0.480444 0.832328 1.518649 2.885971 5.627861 11.928129
2026-04-05 0.264910 0.465576 0.826225 1.550430 3.042482 6.149979 13.617067
2026-04-12 0.249620 0.448000 0.813283 1.567292 3.171180 6.635023 15.326102
2026-04-19 0.231011 0.422423 0.782598 1.544700 3.213276 6.937656 16.660033
2026-04-26 0.209433 0.389203 0.733878 1.479072 3.152327 6.997038 17.391845
2026-05-03 0.192465 0.363432 0.697386 1.435056 3.133759 7.152409 18.410168
2026-05-10 0.178593 0.342570 0.668785 1.404793 3.142643 7.375183 19.662437
2026-05-17 0.173106 0.338070 0.673222 1.448119 3.331714 8.077440 22.443850
2026-05-24 0.165241 0.327972 0.664918 1.461412 3.449366 8.615952 24.872640
2026-05-31 0.154087 0.310055 0.638245 1.428840 3.447274 8.835208 26.366085
2026-06-07 0.143684 0.292908 0.611756 1.393821 3.434272 9.022935 27.806736